RED FLAG

User avatar
NC+
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 2875
Joined: Wed Oct 12, 2016 3:43 pm
Flag: Sri Lanka

Re: RED FLAG

Postby NC+ » Thu Jul 13, 2017 9:58 pm

Good point Shark, timely needed a advice like this...
"Letting your emotions over-ride your plan or system is the biggest cause of failure."

User avatar
Value
Equity Analyst
Equity Analyst
Posts: 930
Joined: Fri Jan 27, 2017 7:30 pm
Flag: Sri Lanka

Re: RED FLAG

Postby Value » Thu Jul 13, 2017 10:05 pm

Thanks Shark for the time allocated into the matter, at the precise time.

Members should learn to take calculated risks. Otherwise consistent in earnings or even the survival in the market becomes compromised and doubtful.

Members should be aware that there should be a fundamental reason for the move in the share price, after all someone is buying for a strong reason.

So at least check whether you have a reason to buy or sell a stock other than the speculation..
Last edited by Value on Thu Jul 13, 2017 10:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.

User avatar
SHARK
Savant
Savant
Posts: 15871
Joined: Sun Jan 11, 2015 10:03 pm
Location: Abu Dhabi
Flag: Sri Lanka
Contact:

Re: RED FLAG

Postby SHARK » Thu Jul 13, 2017 10:06 pm

tea.png


we could draw parallel with tea prices already recording HIGH alongside world tea prices.

what is important to find out

1. what ticks TEA prices to rally to new HIGHS in world market .....
2. how far we have sorted out issues in srilanka regarding problems faced by plantation companies.
3. what diversification tea companies have done to increase their net earnings.

lets discuss... in a professional manner.... with for and against tea rallies
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Price is what you pay. Value is what you get.”

User avatar
Contra
Equity Analyst
Equity Analyst
Posts: 2806
Joined: Sat Mar 28, 2015 11:54 am
Flag: Poland

Re: RED FLAG

Postby Contra » Thu Jul 13, 2017 11:43 pm

Value investors should focus on fundamentals without following other crowds.
Company, stock market, politics and the economy are four different things.

User avatar
topcat
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 2782
Joined: Mon Nov 09, 2015 8:50 pm
Flag: Sri Lanka

Re: RED FLAG

Postby topcat » Fri Jul 14, 2017 5:08 am

Good discussion guys. If you enter in speculations, you should have the ability to cut losses in a turn around. Newcomers not knowing this can trap in top.
So this is a good alert..
"Keep winners, Sell loosers"

User avatar
Xmart
Technical Analyst
Technical Analyst
Posts: 180
Joined: Sat Sep 17, 2016 8:37 am
Flag: Sri Lanka

Re: RED FLAG

Postby Xmart » Fri Jul 14, 2017 8:26 am

The World Bank forecasts a 6 percent overall decline in commodity beverage prices globally as supply outpaces demand but specialty tea continues to defy economic gravity.

The World Bank’s annual Commodity Markets Review places tea, coffee, and cacao in a beverage category where coffee shows the greatest volatility. Tea has experienced very little price fluctuation after spiking in 2014. The average tea prices at auction were $2.64 per kilo in 2016, according to the World Bank. During that same period arabica coffee averaged $3.61 per kilo and cocoa $2.89. The average price for tea auctioned in April was $3.12 per kilo.

Rising labor expense and unpredictable weather are driving prices higher, according to economists.

Tea sold at auction in Colombo, Sri Lanka, continues to lead the world in pricing, averaging $420.90 per metric ton ($4.21 per kilo) for high-grown, according to the International Tea Committee. African teas sold in Mombasa averaged $2.39 with Malawi tea bringing $1.68 at the Limbe auction. Tea auctioned in Jakarta averaged $1.73 per kilo.

The World Bank forecasts an average auction price of $2.80 per kilo in 2017, rising to $2.81 in 2018, $2.83 in 2019 and $2.84 in 2020. In 2017, the global cost of agricultural raw materials (fertilizer etc.) is expected to rise 4 percent.

The price of tea is likely to climb further this year after dry weather slashed production of the commodity in key suppliers India and Kenya, while recent deadly flooding could disrupt shipments from Sri Lanka, another key exporter.

Output in top tea shipper Kenya dropped by over a third from a year ago in the first quarter after drought ravaged parts of the country, while production was down over 16 percent during that period in India, the world’s biggest black tea producer.

“We will see a downturn in the amount (of tea) that will come to auction (in Sri Lanka),” said Rohan Pethiyagoda, chairman of Sri Lanka’s state-run Tea Board. He added that transportation would be hit as roads were blocked by the flooding and landslides, which he said had killed nine plantation workers.

Crops are already down all over the world. It will keep prices firm throughout the year,” said A N Singh, managing director of Goodricke Group, a producer based in the eastern Indian city of Kolkata.

In Kenya, improved weather could lead to higher production in the second half, Alfred Busolo, director general of the state-run agriculture and food authority, said earlier this month.

Kenya is not losing crop anymore, but they have lost already in the past few months. They can’t recover that in the rest of the year,” said McLeod Russel’s Baheti.

So, conclusion is world tea prices are picking up because of bad weather all over the world which affected tea growers badly. Demand is firm and tea prices are likely to be firm over the year with ups and downs. Further, if Kenya receive a favorable weather it is better to be vigilant.
Feed The Bull.. Hunt The Bear..

Hawk Eye
Research Analyst
Research Analyst
Posts: 171
Joined: Wed Aug 31, 2016 11:17 am
Flag: Sri Lanka

Re: RED FLAG

Postby Hawk Eye » Fri Jul 14, 2017 8:42 am

In this current trading pattern the greedy will get caught, :ymdevil: :ymdevil:

User avatar
Shadow walker
Top Contributor
Top Contributor
Posts: 1926
Joined: Tue May 12, 2015 8:59 am
Flag: Sweden

Re: RED FLAG

Postby Shadow walker » Fri Jul 14, 2017 9:03 am

:-B :-B


Image
Successful Investing takes time, discipline and patience. No matter how great the talent or effort, some things just take time .. ;)


User avatar
Value
Equity Analyst
Equity Analyst
Posts: 930
Joined: Fri Jan 27, 2017 7:30 pm
Flag: Sri Lanka

Re: RED FLAG

Postby Value » Fri Jul 14, 2017 9:07 am

Thanks SW for the wonderful illustration...

User avatar
jack18
Top Contributor
Top Contributor
Posts: 552
Joined: Wed Feb 10, 2016 9:16 am
Flag: Sri Lanka

Re: RED FLAG

Postby jack18 » Fri Jul 14, 2017 9:19 am

Shadow walker wrote::-B :-B


Image



The real picture, thanks for sharing this shadow...

User avatar
Blue Whale
Equity Analyst
Equity Analyst
Posts: 8838
Joined: Mon Oct 26, 2015 7:14 am
Location: Asia
Flag: Sri Lanka

Re: RED FLAG

Postby Blue Whale » Fri Jul 14, 2017 9:26 am

Shadow walker wrote::-B :-B


Image


Ahh spot on. You have illustrated how our investors specially the retailers become poor and poor :))
Value Invest Profit

User avatar
topcat
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 2782
Joined: Mon Nov 09, 2015 8:50 pm
Flag: Sri Lanka

Re: RED FLAG

Postby topcat » Fri Jul 14, 2017 9:27 am

Reverse thinking will save you
"Keep winners, Sell loosers"

User avatar
NC+
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 2875
Joined: Wed Oct 12, 2016 3:43 pm
Flag: Sri Lanka

Re: RED FLAG

Postby NC+ » Fri Jul 14, 2017 9:30 am

Good one SW ... thanks.. :D
"Letting your emotions over-ride your plan or system is the biggest cause of failure."

lukedesilva
Senior Member
Senior Member
Posts: 755
Joined: Mon Apr 06, 2015 8:39 am

Re: RED FLAG

Postby lukedesilva » Fri Jul 14, 2017 10:39 am

Each of us will have intimate knowledge of certain stocks / sectors. Could we all contribute and have one "RED LIST".

lukedesilva
Senior Member
Senior Member
Posts: 755
Joined: Mon Apr 06, 2015 8:39 am

Re: RED FLAG

Postby lukedesilva » Fri Jul 14, 2017 10:40 am

As I have said before you guys have save my tail many a time from the fire. Thank you Shark and the clan.

FARZAN
New Member
New Member
Posts: 20
Joined: Sat May 13, 2017 11:17 pm
Flag: Sri Lanka

Re: RED FLAG

Postby FARZAN » Fri Jul 14, 2017 11:22 am

People commonly believe COIN got two sides, Investors believe it's not correct. But fact remain unchanged. (Discussions improving knowledge.)

Coins can stand itself using third side but requires some ones help -------- like TEC :)

Investor from 1985
Senior Member
Senior Member
Posts: 573
Joined: Tue Nov 22, 2016 12:40 pm
Flag: Great Britain

Re: RED FLAG

Postby Investor from 1985 » Fri Jul 14, 2017 12:08 pm

Think twise before come to conclusions. RED FLAG ^:)^ but not for Index.....
Attitude determines how well you do it. :)

PAT
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6951
Joined: Sun Nov 15, 2015 4:40 pm
Flag: Australia

Re: RED FLAG

Postby PAT » Fri Jul 14, 2017 12:33 pm

SHARK wrote:As correctly indicated by Xmart yesterday...... ළපයි සිපයි ඔක්කොම උඩ යනවා !

We have to understand the traits of some stocks ....... there are strong points and weak points in all shares.......

have we understood the RISKS of entering at peaks... why not we look for contrarian.......

my personal opinion is when cyclical stocks reach RES, its time you sell .... and not recommend ....... there could be BULL TRAP

so beware ......


Timely notice Shark....... \m/
Live Today........
Without compromising your ability to Live Tomorrow……… :)

Investor from 1985
Senior Member
Senior Member
Posts: 573
Joined: Tue Nov 22, 2016 12:40 pm
Flag: Great Britain

Re: RED FLAG

Postby Investor from 1985 » Fri Jul 14, 2017 12:50 pm

PAT wrote:
SHARK wrote:As correctly indicated by Xmart yesterday...... ළපයි සිපයි ඔක්කොම උඩ යනවා !

We have to understand the traits of some stocks ....... there are strong points and weak points in all shares.......

have we understood the RISKS of entering at peaks... why not we look for contrarian.......

my personal opinion is when cyclical stocks reach RES, its time you sell .... and not recommend ....... there could be BULL TRAP

so beware ......


Timely notice Shark....... \m/


agree with u guys , mostly on Sinhala words =))
Attitude determines how well you do it. :)

User avatar
Blue Whale
Equity Analyst
Equity Analyst
Posts: 8838
Joined: Mon Oct 26, 2015 7:14 am
Location: Asia
Flag: Sri Lanka

Re: RED FLAG

Postby Blue Whale » Fri Jul 14, 2017 2:59 pm

මේක හරියට පේමන්ට් එකේ බඩු තෝරනව වගේ වැඩක්නේ. අපි තියෙන ඔක්කොම ගන්ඩ යන්නේ නැහැනේ. ලාබෙට තියෙන මොනවාහරි හොද දෙයක් තිබුනොත්නේ ගන්නේ. මම මේ කියන කාරනාව කාටත් තව මාසෙකින් විතර බලාගන්න පුලුවනි.
Value Invest Profit

Investor from 1985
Senior Member
Senior Member
Posts: 573
Joined: Tue Nov 22, 2016 12:40 pm
Flag: Great Britain

Re: RED FLAG

Postby Investor from 1985 » Fri Jul 14, 2017 3:20 pm

We realize 6 months ago......who tells this inadvance :)) :)) :))

\m/
Attitude determines how well you do it. :)

User avatar
Contra
Equity Analyst
Equity Analyst
Posts: 2806
Joined: Sat Mar 28, 2015 11:54 am
Flag: Poland

Re: RED FLAG

Postby Contra » Fri Jul 14, 2017 3:31 pm

ගොඩ දෙනෙක් කොටස් මිලදිගන්නේ චාර්ට් එක බලලා, දිසාව බලලා, සාමාගම ගැන අදහසක් නැතිව, නගින්න පටන්ගන්න කොට. කොටස් වෙළදපොල හොදටම උණුසුම් උනාම(තවම නෑ) ගොඩක් කොටස් උඩ යාවි වටිනම්කමට වඩා. එතකොට ටිකක් බය වෙන්න ඕන. ගොඩක්කොටස් පල්වෙලා තවම තියනවා. මම නම් ඒවත් ටිකක් ගත්තා. නගින්න පටන් ගන්න කොටත් ගත්තා. නැගල තියපු කොටස් ටිකකුත් ගත්තා. එකේ වටිනාකමක් තිබුනොත් පමණයි ගන්නේ. මගේ කොටස් වල වටිනකමක් තියනවා කියල හිතනවා. මම දන්නේ නැ මම හරි කියල. වැරදෙන්න පුළුවන්.
Company, stock market, politics and the economy are four different things.

User avatar
Blue Whale
Equity Analyst
Equity Analyst
Posts: 8838
Joined: Mon Oct 26, 2015 7:14 am
Location: Asia
Flag: Sri Lanka

Re: RED FLAG

Postby Blue Whale » Fri Jul 14, 2017 3:45 pm

ඔබ නිවැරදියි Contra මෙතන වෙලා තියෙන්නේ අපි යායුතු දේවල් ගැන කියනවා වගේම එවා සීඝ්‍රගාමීව යන එකෙනේ. හැබැයි ඉතින් සද්ද නැතුව ශේප් එකේ අරගෙන නිකන් ඉන්නත් තිබුනා. වැඩේ කියන්නේ අපිට අමාරුවක් තියෙනවනේ අපි දන්න දේ අනික් ඈයො එක්ක බෙදා ගන්නැතුව ඉන්ඩ බැරි එක.
Value Invest Profit

User avatar
SHARK
Savant
Savant
Posts: 15871
Joined: Sun Jan 11, 2015 10:03 pm
Location: Abu Dhabi
Flag: Sri Lanka
Contact:

Re: RED FLAG

Postby SHARK » Fri Jul 14, 2017 3:50 pm

The more you share the more you gain.... :D
Price is what you pay. Value is what you get.”

Investor from 1985
Senior Member
Senior Member
Posts: 573
Joined: Tue Nov 22, 2016 12:40 pm
Flag: Great Britain

Re: RED FLAG

Postby Investor from 1985 » Fri Jul 14, 2017 3:52 pm

Blue Whale wrote:ඔබ නිවැරදියි Contra මෙතන වෙලා තියෙන්නේ අපි යායුතු දේවල් ගැන කියනවා වගේම එවා සීඝ්‍රගාමීව යන එකෙනේ. හැබැයි ඉතින් සද්ද නැතුව ශේප් එකේ අරගෙන නිකන් ඉන්නත් තිබුනා. වැඩේ කියන්නේ අපිට අමාරුවක් තියෙනවනේ අපි දන්න දේ අනික් ඈයො එක්ක බෙදා ගන්නැතුව ඉන්ඩ බැරි එක.



THOUGHT OF THE DAY


I wanted it come from your words BW....

I have been trying to get it from u BW, I realized about you back in january. there are experts but only one BW here ..... ^:)^
Attitude determines how well you do it. :)


Return to “Communities”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 2 guests